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	<title>Profit Observer &#187; Forex Trading</title>
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	<description>News and articles about foreign exchange trading, my opinions about how market will evolve and other interesting articles about Fundamental and Thenichal Analisys in Forex trading, about Online Investments and other ways to make money working from home. Of course, all information available on my website is with recommendation purpose only, past or present performance does not guarantee a future performance.</description>
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		<title>Tips on How to Learn Forex Trading</title>
		<link>http://www.profitobserver.com/news/2010/06/tips-on-how-to-learn-forex-trading.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.profitobserver.com/news/2010/06/tips-on-how-to-learn-forex-trading.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jun 2010 18:40:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forex Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forex Trader]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Here are several Tips for becoming a successful Forex Trader: Right attitude. The traders who are successful in trading forex takes on the attitude of doing what it takes to achieve success. This stresses that success lies on the person who are trading forex itself. It does not matter if you read forex trading tip [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here are several Tips for becoming a successful Forex Trader:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Right attitude.</strong> The traders who are successful in trading forex takes on the attitude of doing what it takes to achieve success. This stresses that success lies on the person who are trading forex itself. It does not matter if you read forex trading tip sheets or listen to forex trading guru. It will become invalid if you don’t possess the right attitude for success. You can conduct experiments on your own for two weeks together with other novice traders. They are often called as turtles. Learning forex trading is avoiding the trap of believing that you can actually gain success by following someone else. Just get the right knowledge and develop a strategy of your own.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p><strong>Right method.</strong> It should involve long term trends. Keep in mind that the trend on big currencies lasts for months or even for years. It is your responsibility to lock yourself into these trends to make huge profits. It is best suggested to use the breakout methods to catch long-term trends. This method is already proven by leading trading systems. Good software is also recommended for use. It allows the trader to test the trading method that was chosen and later on trade it on real times. You need to know proper charting and mapping. There is already available software that will aid you regarding market moves. It will allow you to calculate the best times for selling or buying when you are able to read forex market charts.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p><strong>Right discipline.</strong> The traders should discipline themselves by strictly following on their developed methods even when losing period’s strikes. It could teach them new techniques on how to survive the forex markets even when downfalls strike.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p><strong>Right knowledge.</strong> The traders can quickly learn the breakout method, however, they should also overcome psychological pitfalls involved in forex trading. It is recommended to read motivational books that mainly focus on this matter.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p><strong>Take the risks.</strong> The common mistake done by most forex traders is trying to restrict the risks. In the end they may suffer great losses because they are being blocked out in the forex market. The trader’s direction is right however the trade does not have enough room for downsides. Always remember that in forex trading risks lays the rewards. There is a difference between rushing in taking risks which are already calculated. It only allows you to wait for the right opportunity.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p><strong>Trading in isolation.</strong> The trader should learn this to keep focused. Remember that if you are open to the views and opinions of others, it may discourage you if you find it very different. It does not necessarily mean you follow the opinion agreed upon by many traders, because most often, many traders acquire losses.</p></blockquote>
<p>Before trading foreign exchange you must educate yourself.</p>
<blockquote><p>It is very important to know even the basics of forex trading to gain success, but this is no guarantee, not by a long shot, you need to know more than the basics to even have a fighting chance of succeeding. There are different ways to learn forex trading. You can join online services, enroll in a forex trading school, become an apprentice of a forex trader, or do it alone. However, doing it alone involves a lot of risks especially for beginners.</p>
<p>For novice traders, it is much better to choose the safer ways of learning forex trading. You are going to benefit from experienced instructors who are already trading forex in real times. In this manner, you are being acquainted with the real market conditions. You are given the chance to see the actual processes and decisions which you can later on adopt. Nevertheless, it is your own strategy that will win you up.</p>
<p>Forex market is considered the largest market in the world. It is operational twenty four hours a day, five days a week. Its processes are been carried out in real times without boundaries. The trader’s success also depends on the right decision making.  Learning forex trading have no barriers and entry points so you need to have better understanding before plunging into business.  Although some people suggest that learning forex while trading is the best, but it is always your decision to choose the best way to learn that will suit your needs.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Automated Forex Trading</title>
		<link>http://www.profitobserver.com/news/2010/06/automated-forex-trading.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.profitobserver.com/news/2010/06/automated-forex-trading.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jun 2010 07:41:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Forex Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Automated Forex Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Invest Online]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Automated Forex Trading is a great way to invest online and trade foreign exchange without doing the trades yourself. AvaFX offers the possibility of Automated Forex Trading. Today&#8217;s modern world offers a lot of convenience for people. There have been great changes which brought about many inventions and critical lifestyle changes for most people around [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Automated Forex Trading is a great way to invest online and trade foreign exchange without doing the trades yourself. <a href="http://www.profitobserver.com/site/avafx" target="_blank">AvaFX</a> offers the possibility of Automated Forex Trading.</p>
<blockquote><p>Today&#8217;s modern world offers a lot of convenience for people. There have been great changes which brought about many inventions and critical lifestyle changes for most people around the globe.</p>
<p>Life was quite simpler before, many people engaged in trading were able to trade goods and/or services within a specific location. After a while, when it was already possible to travel on the seas, trading was done from different places. Today, almost everyone is engaged in a certain trade, for him or her to be able to live a normal life able to get all their needs.</p>
<p>These days, people who have no work, or does not earn any income whatsoever goes hungry. If you have no money, then you can&#8217;t buy food, shelter, clothes, and other necessities. We live in a modern world which requires people to be effective and hard working individuals.</p>
<p>Perhaps the most popular of all trades is the forex trading. You probably have heard of it already. In this type of financial market, currencies are traded.</p>
<p>Before the internet was even introduced into the global market, forex trading was only for big corporations, the rich ones or the elite. Most large organizations also take part in this trade. But now, things are different. Because of the help of the internet, people from around the globe can actually do forex trading, whether you&#8217;re rich or middle class.</p>
<p>If you have an internet connection at home, then you can do your trading there. If you want to be part of the online forex trading, it is best if you can secure an effective system which you can use in your trade. If you have a system, you can now generate signals.</p>
<p>Automatic trading signals will help you a lot in spotting opportunities in the forex market. These opportunities may just be the ones that you&#8217;ve been waiting for to hit it big in the market.</p>
<p>You can also get trading signals from the daily newspaper, radio, television, and online forums. But there are times when these signals are somewhat biased. There is therefore a need for unbiased automatic trading signals.</p>
<p>To be able to get automatic trading signals, the first thing that you should accomplish is choosing the best and the right system. There are many systems available on the net. In case you don’t know yet, a system is a method, software, or course that is designed especially by forex trading experts.</p>
<p>With a little research, and participation in discussions online, you may be able to get a good idea on which system will work best for you.</p>
<p>Once you&#8217;ve chosen the system, you need to subscribe for automatic trading alerts. After you&#8217;ve made a subscription, you can now receive live alerts which you can use in your currency trading.</p>
<p>These automatic trading signals provide alerts about entry and/or exit points for the different major currencies (in pair) for example the US dollar and Japanese Yen or the Euro and US dollars.</p>
<p>These alerts are all provided in real time, making possible for you to tap into your forex trading all day long, and all throughout the week.</p>
<p>Each time an opportunity turns up; you will receive an instant automatic trading signal. You can receive the signals through your email. But if you are a busy person, who needs to go out more often and carries a cellular phone with you, you can receive the alert on your phone, and most providers makes no extra charges.</p>
<p>Usually, most providers offer added features on their automatic trading signals, like the one mentioned about receiving alerts on your cell phones, to stay competitive in the market.</p>
<p>Automatic trading alerts can really help you a lot in making decisions pertaining to forex trading.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.profitobserver.com/site/avafx" target="_blank">AvaFX</a> offers the possibility to automatically execute these trading signals so all you have to do is choose one of their four trading strategies.</p>
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		<title>How to use the stop-loss order on Forex Market</title>
		<link>http://www.profitobserver.com/news/2009/12/how-to-use-the-stop-loss-order-on-forex-market.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.profitobserver.com/news/2009/12/how-to-use-the-stop-loss-order-on-forex-market.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Dec 2009 21:04:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Forex Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fibonacci]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge Fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Margin]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Technical Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Volatility]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.profitobserver.com/?p=70</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this article I will discuss the various ways to implement a stop loss order. Every trader who has had dealings in any of the financial markets is familiar with placing and executing a stop loss order, but lots of them are mistaken that a stop loss order is always numerical. On the contrary, there [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In this article I will discuss the various ways to implement a stop loss order. Every trader who has had dealings in any of the financial markets is familiar with placing and executing a stop loss order, but lots of them are mistaken that a stop loss order is always numerical. On the contrary, there are lots of traders (even professional hedge fund managers) who use what is colloquially termed a “mental stop” which stop is a stop loss point determined by factors other than the price, such as events, volatility, volume, option positioning, or any other comparable information. Such a stop is no less valid than a numerical two, and certainly no less effective, but two does need a lot more discipline to execute it successfully.</p>
<p>The great advantage of a non-numerical stop-loss order is its partial immunity to price swings. If the trader has confidence in his analysis, and is satisfied that standing firm in the face of market volatility is sensible and acceptable given the major dynamics and currents in the market, maintaining positions with non-numerical stop loss orders can be advisable and lucrative. In order to manage the inevitable massive swings in account value, professional managers will implement hedging strategies in addition to money management methods, to control and minimize the volatility of the portfolio. Thus, even if the mental stop triggers a massive drawdown in our position, they can minimize the effect on the portfolio through diversifying and distributing the risk among various funds pairs.</p>
<p>An equity stop is two where the position will be closed in case the total equity in an account falls below a sure value. A stop loss at 2 percent of total equity is generally regarded as a conservative strategy, while the maximum is 5 percent for most money management methods. Thus, to give an example, a 1000 USD account would have the stop loss for an open position at the point where to the total equity would fall below 980 USD.</p>
<p>Let us examine the various ways of implementing a stop-loss order now.<br />
<strong>Equity Stop</strong></p>
<p>Another important problem with the equity stop is its inability to prevent a string of losses. For instance, when the trader closes a position at a three percent loss, there’s nothing that will prevent him from opening another position in the same direction (buy or sell) a small while later, if the causes that justified the first trade are still in place. For instance, if the trader enters a sell order when the RSI is above 80, and consequently the stop loss is triggered, and the position closed, there’s small that will prevent the same events from being repeated if the price action repeats the same movements. In order to keep away from this pitfall, the trader can tie the stop loss point to a non-price factor, and the rest of this editorial discusses such scenarios.<br />
<strong>Chart Stop</strong></p>
<p>Both the disadvantage and the advantage of the equity stop is its inflexibility. The equity stop provides a solid criterion for deciding on the success or failure of a single trade, as there’s no way of being mistaken about an account in the red. On the other hand, the same inflexibility may prevent the trade from functioning as expected. The markets are volatile, and a trade that has a perfectly valid cause behind it may yet be invalidated by the random fluctuations that are not predictable.</p>
<p>The chart stop is more flexible and reliable than a direct equity stop, because it adjusts to price action and volatility, and is therefore independent of the random movements of the price. The problem with the chart stop is twofold. First, the technical indicator used to generate the signals may fail to capture the change of the market trend, resulting in massive losses. The other, and obvious problem is related to the indirect character of the stop-loss mechanism. Because the order is independent of the price, it may not be able to cut losses as effectively as a direct equity stop, and larger than expected losses may materialize as a result.<br />
<strong>Volatility Stop</strong></p>
<p>In a chart stop, the trader will place the stop loss order not at a price point, but at a chart point which may be static or dynamic. For instance, a stop loss order may be placed at a Fibonacci level, which would be a static value. On the other hand, the trader may use an API (an automated trading process), or mentally prepare himself to close the position if a technical event, such as a crossover, a breakout, or divergence occurs, which would constitute a dynamic stop-loss point. In all these cases, technical analysis generates the triggers and determines the price where the position must be closed.</p>
<p>A volatility stop is contingent on volatility indicators, such as the VIX for determining the exit point for the trade. As such, market panics and shocks will cause the order to be executed, but mere price fluctuations in the funds market which lack their counterpart in other asset classes will be ignored for the most part. The trader who utilizes a volatility stop expresses the opinion that unless a major, unexpected shock hits the market; his position should be held regardless of the behavior of the markets. This is a more dangerous strategy than the equity stop, but can be profitable and valid depending on market conditions and the economic environment. In general, it is doubtful that a volatility stop can be useful in a nervous and volatile market. But it could be helpful in maintaining a long-term position where risk perception is low.</p>
<p>The volatility stop is sensitive to prices, but only in an indirect manner, and its nature is similar to the chart stop. It is useful for eliminating short term distortions from our analysis, and allows us greater resilience in the face of noise in the information.</p>
<p>Volatility may fail to react to market swings. Sometimes a massive fall in the market has no equivalent rise in the various volatility gauges. Similarly, volatility can sometimes rise without any obvious corresponding price action. Consequently, a volatility stop (and similar stops based on non-price information) can be triggered even before a trade is in the red. All these must be kept in mind if the trader decides to use this type of stop order.<br />
<strong>Volume Stop</strong></p>
<p>When the trader expects an ongoing trend to be reversed or invalidated subsequent to a change in volume, a volume stop perhaps appropriate. While volume statistics are not available for the forex market, positioning as depicted by the COT document can be used for establishing this type of stop. For utilizing the order, the trader determines a percentage value on futures positioning above or below which the position must be liquidated, depending on market conditions and the nature of the order. In the same context, other types of information can also be used to generate a stop loss trigger point. A particular put/call ratio or option risk reversal value may all be selected to provide the equivalent of a volume stop in the stock market.</p>
<p>In example, let’s think about a trader who opens a short position in a carryover trader pair, confirming his trade by developments in the stock market. His expectation is that the recent rise in the stock market indexes (and the corresponding rise in the carryover pairs) occurred on low volume, and will soon be reversed without new money flows. Consequently, they places his stop-loss at a volume level which, if reached in a rising market, will invalidate the beginning premise, and cause the position to be liquidated. When this occurs, and volume rises above the preconceived level, the trader will close his short position in the carryover trade pair.<br />
<strong>Margin Stop</strong></p>
<p>The margin stop is not a stop loss order, but the absence of it. In this case the trader will let his account absorb the unrealized losses until a margin call is triggered, and a massive part of the account is gone. The margin stop is a sign of indiscipline and lack of insight, because a diligent trader will always predetermine the conditions that will lead to the closing and liquidation of a position. Since not even the brightest analyst is capable of predicting the future with any certainty, lack of a stop loss order is an indefensible practice.</p>
<p>Notwithstanding the previous, the margin stop is a popular choice among lots of traders who are unable to remain calm in the face of the great emotional pressures of trading. It is only viable under low leverage such as 2:1, and even then a margin stop would not be the best choice. At much higher leverage, the margin stop is indefensible, and should be avoided altogether<br />
<strong>Event Stop</strong></p>
<p>Fundamental analysts do make use of technical tools, if only for determining the trigger points for a trade. Take profit, and stop loss orders are used by every trader in the world, and its is unthinkable that a serious analyst won&#8217;t have a condition, at least in mind, for closing an open position, however convinced they may be of its ultimate validity.</p>
<p>But fundamental analysts are not limited to technical tools and the price action for determining when to exit a trade. The event stop that they would like to discuss here is a device that the trader can use to decide a trade’s exit point.</p>
<p>When using the event stop, the trader will ignore the price action for the most part (and will use low leverage), and will only close a position in the red when the scenario they had pictured in his mind becomes contradicted by events. For instance, a trader is anticipating that Bank A will be nationalized by the authorities of Nation X, and they expects that this will lead to X’s funds depreciating against its counterparts. In consequence, they short it. They will refuse to close the position until authorities confirm and clarify, in a solid and unmistakable fashion that they will refuse to nationalize Bank A. In the meantime, they will be willing to put up with all the rumors, extreme swings, and short term fluctuations in the market without worrying about the unrealized profit or loss in his account.</p>
<p>The best choice for the beginner is the equity stop. During the learning method, the trader can concentrate on bettering his understanding of the markets without worrying about excessive losses. Two time the trader gains a lovely understanding of market dynamics, and can form and implement his trading designs, the equity stop will quickly lose its attractiveness.</p>
<p>As they mentioned at the beginning, the event stop is for those traders who know what they do, and who possess the track record, the intellectual background, and the confidence to use it. But do not take our word in order to evaluate your own skills; you ought to know yourself better than anyone else, and if you believe that you understand the economic dynamics of the era, and can defend your claim in your trading activities, you will be perfectly capable of using the event stop.<br />
<strong>Conclusion</strong></p>
<p>Needless to say, every trader will have his own choices on stop loss orders. And they would like to conclude this section by noting that the key to a successful stop-loss order is a disciplined risk management strategy, and everything else is detail.</p>
<p>The best method for using the non-price stop orders is combining them with a wide equity stop which will serve as a final safety precaution in case the price action becomes unsafe. For instance, a trader can long the EUR/JPY pair and hold it indefinitely until the VIX registers a value above 35, where a volatility stop would be placed. Simultaneously they will protect from extreme, and unexpected swings by placing an equity stop at 5-7 percent of total equity. Thus, unless a massive price swing overruns the main criterion for the stop loss order, and triggers the equity stop, the trade would be maintained indefinitely.</p>
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